Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.002540 0.002697 0.002865 0.003060 0.003282 0.003528 0.003825
2025-04-20 0.002215 0.002412 0.002633 0.002905 0.003235 0.003629 0.004150
2025-04-27 0.002069 0.002297 0.002565 0.002910 0.003354 0.003924 0.004750
2025-05-04 0.001993 0.002252 0.002567 0.002989 0.003564 0.004361 0.005642
2025-05-11 0.001901 0.002174 0.002514 0.002987 0.003661 0.004652 0.006404
2025-05-18 0.001860 0.002155 0.002532 0.003076 0.003890 0.005181 0.007763
2025-05-25 0.001785 0.002086 0.002477 0.003055 0.003950 0.005448 0.008758
2025-06-01 0.001708 0.002007 0.002402 0.002995 0.003940 0.005589 0.009554
2025-06-08 0.001680 0.001993 0.002413 0.003062 0.004140 0.006160 0.011834
2025-06-15 0.001648 0.001969 0.002409 0.003104 0.004302 0.006705 0.014693
2025-06-22 0.001594 0.001912 0.002353 0.003058 0.004302 0.006902 0.016619
2025-06-29 0.001539 0.001853 0.002290 0.002996 0.004265 0.007005 0.018354
2025-07-06 0.001493 0.001805 0.002244 0.002964 0.004289 0.007292 0.021984
2025-07-13 0.001414 0.001708 0.002121 0.002799 0.004041 0.006838 0.020197
2025-07-20 0.001383 0.001679 0.002098 0.002797 0.004114 0.007248 0.025945
2025-07-27 0.001372 0.001678 0.002117 0.002868 0.004342 0.008192 0.046006
2025-08-03 0.001345 0.001651 0.002096 0.002865 0.004418 0.008725 0.078864
2025-08-10 0.001339 0.001654 0.002120 0.002947 0.004692 0.010115 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001310 0.001624 0.002090 0.002927 0.004731 0.010661 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001276 0.001584 0.002044 0.002872 0.004680 0.010804 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001268 0.001583 0.002058 0.002934 0.004923 0.012526 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001256 0.001574 0.002061 0.002972 0.005117 0.014304 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001229 0.001543 0.002024 0.002930 0.005089 0.014737 NaN